![]() However, it appears that over the last two seasons this tendency has evened out. There should be about a point extra given to the first half total compared to the second half total. If a team is ahead in the fourth quarter they are going to kill the clock, whereas in the second quarter they are going to keep trying to put points on the board. This really shouldn’t come as any surprise. ![]() There are more points scored in the first half on average than the second. However, I might have to reconsider that strategy from this point forward and start looking at first quarter lines. It just seems to me that with such a short 15 minute time frame that whoever receives is going to have a significant advantage. Quartersīoth the first and the second quarters are nearly a full point advantage! I originally assumed it would be close to 25% advantage to the winning team in each quarter, but that does not appear to be the case.īetting on who is going to win the first quarter is something I almost feel uncomfortable with unless I know who is going to get the ball first. In fact, it should be closer to 2/3rds the odds for the entire game. ![]() Thus, the NFL lines should be higher than more than simply half the odds for the entire game. ![]() My original assumption was that the first half lines should be approximately half of the line for the full game, but it appears from the data that home teams win by nearly two points per game in the first half and only one point in the second. ![]()
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